Anyone wondering how the presidential campaign of Joe Biden seems to have been derailed so suddenly can just read this short explanation:
Here’s how media oversold Biden’s campaign from the start, declaring him a front-runner before a single damned citizen voted.
— Jeff Jarvis
Currently Pete Buttigieg is being oversold as well, so don’t be surprised if that ends suddenly.
I use fivethirtyeight’s forecasts, which currently sit at:
The odds in that forecast is not for getting more than half of the delegates, just for getting most. The way the primaries and delegation work in the 2 major parties in USA, nothing is certain.