The donkey race

Anyone wondering how the presidential campaign of Joe Biden seems to have been derailed so suddenly can just read this short explanation:

Here’s how media oversold Biden’s campaign from the start, declaring him a front-runner before a single damned citizen voted.
Jeff Jarvis

Currently Pete Buttigieg is being oversold as well, so don’t be surprised if that ends suddenly.

I use fivethirtyeight’s forecasts, which currently sit at:

The odds in that forecast is not for getting more than half of the delegates, just for getting most. The way the primaries and delegation work in the 2 major parties in USA, nothing is certain.











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