Efter Brexit

Mike Hearn har gjort umagen at se lidt ind i fremtiden for EU og Storbrittanien, uden at komme med voldsomme økonomiske gæt, i “OK, what now?“. Det er en god gennemgang af kommende politiske udfordringer i og omkring EU i 2017, først med Schweiz, så Holland, så Frankrig og til sidst Tyskland, de sidste 3 med valg det år.

Og han slutter med dette bud:

If the UK announces that it will create a new European Trade Area with any other economically equal countries that exit the EU, featuring no trade barriers but controlled migration, then the existence of an alternative would likely increase support for EU exit in other major European economies. By adopting a “compromise is death” negotiating strategy the EU leaves the UK with only one card to play — sticking in the knife and helping them along.

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